US consumers, business pay 90% of tariff costs, says Federal Reserve

February 13, 2026
US consumers, business pay 90% of tariff costs, says Federal Reserve

Here’s something surprising — despite claims that foreign companies would carry the burden, the Federal Reserve’s latest research shows that Americans are footing nearly 90% of the cost of tariffs from last year. According to Myles McCormick and Claire Jones from the Financial Times, the study by the New York Fed highlights that most of these costs were passed directly to U.S. consumers and businesses in the first 11 months of 2025. Now, here’s where it gets interesting — while that big chunk was absorbed by Americans early on, exporters started bearing more of the load as the year went on. The study’s authors emphasize that the tariff burden largely stays on US firms and consumers, not on foreign companies. So what does this actually mean? Well, it’s a reminder that tariff policies often hit the wallet of everyday Americans harder than expected. And as Myles McCormick and Claire Jones point out, the long-term impacts could shape trade costs more than anyone anticipated.

US businesses and consumers paid nearly 90 percent of the cost of Donald Trump’s tariffs last year, according to new Federal Reserve research that undercuts the president’s claim that foreign companies would bear the burden.

The study by the New York Fed found that the majority of tariff costs were passed through to Americans in the first 11 months of 2025, although exporters shouldered an increasing amount as the year progressed.

“Our results show that the bulk of the tariff incidence continues to fall on US firms and consumers,” the study’s authors wrote in a blog post on Thursday.

Read full article

Comments

Audio Transcript

US businesses and consumers paid nearly 90 percent of the cost of Donald Trump’s tariffs last year, according to new Federal Reserve research that undercuts the president’s claim that foreign companies would bear the burden.

The study by the New York Fed found that the majority of tariff costs were passed through to Americans in the first 11 months of 2025, although exporters shouldered an increasing amount as the year progressed.

“Our results show that the bulk of the tariff incidence continues to fall on US firms and consumers,” the study’s authors wrote in a blog post on Thursday.

Read full article

Comments

0:00/0:00
US consumers, business pay 90% of tariff costs, says Federal Reserve | Speasy